A simple prediction score for prolonged length of stay following elective colorectal cancer surgery.
Chan DKH., Ang JJ.
BACKGROUND: Current enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) protocols are designed for all patients without tailored programmes for at-risk groups. A risk score to determine elective colorectal cancer patients at risk for prolonged length of stay (LOS) would help to identify this group for preoperative intervention. METHODS: Multivariate analysis of demographic and preoperative variables was performed to identify independent risk factors for prolonged LOS, defined as 7 days or more. A stepwise variable selection approach using logistic regression was then used to build a risk prediction model. RESULTS: Among 172 patients in our population, 41.9% of patients had prolonged LOS. Five variables were included in our risk prediction model. These were age ≥ 65 years (OR 13.9 5.09-38.0; p